If I'm Obama, it looks like I need to register as many 18-39 year-olds as possible. And isn't it odd that Obama does better with 50-year-olds than 40-year-olds and 80-year-olds than 70-year-olds? I would have guessed that presidential preference this year would be almost directly correlates with age, but not so. I'd read somewhere (sorry, don't remember the link- that's what comes from being 50!) that the theory is that 40 year olds came of age politically during the "failed" Carter and "successful" Reagan presidencies, making them more conservative than nearby age groups.
Friday, June 20, 2008
Age Demographics and the Presidential campaign
Gallup has an interesting analysis up on voting patterns. Sample period = June 5-16, sample size nearly 10,000 registered voters nationwide, including 1,637 in their 40s. Obama led McCain by an average of 47% to 42% among the entire sample of registered voters.